Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.006788 0.007598 0.008481 0.009518 0.010705 0.012024 0.013606
2025-03-09 0.005432 0.006518 0.007801 0.009440 0.011491 0.013993 0.017304
2025-03-16 0.004539 0.005692 0.007127 0.009062 0.011634 0.014976 0.019712
2025-03-23 0.004030 0.005238 0.006805 0.009018 0.012109 0.016346 0.022719
2025-03-30 0.003795 0.005092 0.006841 0.009416 0.013183 0.018613 0.027257
2025-04-06 0.003388 0.004663 0.006434 0.009129 0.013222 0.019369 0.029626
2025-04-13 0.003063 0.004310 0.006091 0.008882 0.013268 0.020110 0.032033
2025-04-20 0.002847 0.004094 0.005919 0.008863 0.013646 0.021388 0.035479
2025-04-27 0.002738 0.004021 0.005949 0.009153 0.014535 0.023589 0.040830
2025-05-04 0.002565 0.003836 0.005789 0.009115 0.014870 0.024878 0.044715
2025-05-11 0.002432 0.003701 0.005692 0.009168 0.015356 0.026479 0.049423
2025-05-18 0.002280 0.003523 0.005511 0.009057 0.015533 0.027527 0.053185
2025-05-25 0.002177 0.003424 0.005460 0.009182 0.016183 0.029604 0.059568
2025-06-01 0.002048 0.003271 0.005308 0.009116 0.016476 0.031043 0.064887
2025-06-08 0.001882 0.003044 0.005010 0.008753 0.016150 0.031181 0.067285
2025-06-15 0.001783 0.002925 0.004890 0.008711 0.016450 0.032655 0.073094
2025-06-22 0.001756 0.002929 0.004989 0.009093 0.017656 0.036244 0.084828
2025-06-29 0.001638 0.002762 0.004764 0.008817 0.017449 0.036656 0.088499
2025-07-06 0.001534 0.002615 0.004566 0.008580 0.017299 0.037177 0.092572
2025-07-13 0.001468 0.002532 0.004480 0.008562 0.017628 0.038872 0.100271
2025-07-20 0.001443 0.002523 0.004535 0.008840 0.018656 0.042420 0.114166
2025-07-27 0.001382 0.002442 0.004446 0.008804 0.018952 0.044174 0.123079
2025-08-03 0.001334 0.002386 0.004399 0.008855 0.019459 0.046549 0.134550